Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.012126 0.014757 0.018069 0.022642 0.028960 0.037649 0.051020
2025-03-02 0.008562 0.011326 0.015259 0.021559 0.032038 0.050208 0.088324
2025-03-09 0.006873 0.009573 0.013730 0.021094 0.035142 0.064583 0.147484
2025-03-16 0.005960 0.008651 0.013066 0.021595 0.040022 0.086683 0.271968
2025-03-23 0.005242 0.007850 0.012346 0.021656 0.044024 0.111532 0.503869
2025-03-30 0.004569 0.006989 0.011306 0.020697 0.045110 0.129930 0.840808
2025-04-06 0.004091 0.006381 0.010598 0.020211 0.047217 0.156079 1.619068
2025-04-13 0.003809 0.006072 0.010391 0.020789 0.052882 0.210204 5.118237
2025-04-20 0.003654 0.005969 0.010568 0.022363 0.063202 0.324510 71.643366
2025-04-27 0.003469 0.005778 0.010523 0.023355 0.072554 0.484450 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003239 0.005470 0.010163 0.023356 0.077997 0.653255 NaN
2025-05-11 0.003048 0.005218 0.009885 0.023519 0.084662 0.923604 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002827 0.004905 0.009481 0.023398 0.091454 1.392467 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002575 0.004505 0.008818 0.022265 0.091810 1.790034 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002388 0.004220 0.008385 0.021779 0.096146 2.687762 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002269 0.004065 0.008249 0.022302 0.108910 5.909480 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002144 0.003882 0.008010 0.022366 0.118958 13.699833 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001992 0.003624 0.007536 0.021364 0.118457 21.864846 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001873 0.003431 0.007207 0.020856 0.122465 52.357581 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001805 0.003343 0.007150 0.021460 0.140130 1470.939352 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001773 0.003335 0.007313 0.023105 0.177045 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001723 0.003280 0.007333 0.024143 0.212265 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.001649 0.003163 0.007152 0.024143 0.231831 NaN NaN